Intelligence & AI · Asset Simulation

Test It in Silicon.
Not in the Field.

Simulate wells, facilities, and capital programs before committing dollars — AI-driven scenario modeling built for Texas operators.

The Problem

Capital decisions get made on single-point estimates. The spreadsheet says one number; nobody knows how it behaves at $63 oil or a 30% steeper decline.

What It Does

Intelligence, explained

Scenario Modeling

Build cases from type curves, offset wells, or your own decline data. Vary price decks, costs, and timing in one screen.

Monte Carlo Engine

Thousands of runs per case produce P10/P50/P90 ranges instead of single-point guesses.

Capital Ranking

Every simulated project lands in one ranked table — NPV, IRR, payout, and risk side by side.

How It Works

Three steps to a decision

01
Build the case

Set decline, price deck, operating cost, royalty burden, working interest, lease renewal cost, and plugging liability in one panel.

02
Run the range

Base, downside, and upside cases — with Monte Carlo P10/P50/P90 ranges instead of one guess.

03
Read the memo

The AI explains the drivers of value and risk in plain English, ready for a board or a bank.

Core Features

What the product actually does

Scenario Builder — Base / Downside / Upside Decline Curve Assumptions Commodity Price Decks Operating Cost Inputs Royalty & Working Interest Fields Lease Expiration & Renewal Costs Plugging Liability Estimates NPV & Payback View AI Value-Driver Memo
Sample Output

Not dashboards — decisions

Every output names its severity, its reasoning, its recommended action, its sources, and its confidence. This is what the system produces:

Sample Simulation Memo Item
AttentionWater handling upgrade — marginal below $65 WTI

NPV turns negative at $63 flat; the case rests on disposal-cost savings that assume current trucking rates hold.

Do next: Hold the AFE until the SWD capacity case confirms disposal economics.

SOURCE: Sensitivity run #SN-112 · price deck ±$15 83% confidence
Who It's For

Built for the people doing the work

Operators Investors Engineers Lenders
Beyond Map-First Tools

Data platforms show. We decide.

Production analytics tell you what happened. TOIL Asset Simulation turns numbers into board-ready scenario reasoning — what happens next, under which assumptions, and why.

Request Demo → View Pricing →
Access

Sign in to open the live workspace

Platform members get the operational Asset Simulation workspace — the same account used for Lease Management and DailyDash. Not a member yet? Request a demo and we'll set you up.